On-chain data shows the Bitcoin MVRV triple ribbon has once again formed a signal that has lead to an average of 30% decline during previous instances this year.
Bitcoin MVRV Triple Ribbon Shows Bearish Signal Formation
As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the latest trend in the BTC MVRV triple ribbon may suggest the crypto will observe another local drawdown soon.
Before looking at what “MVRV” is, it’s best to first take a look at the two major types of capitalization methods for Bitcoin.
The first cap, the usual market cap, is calculated by multiplying each coin in circulation with the current BTC price (or more simply, it’s just the total number of coins in circulation, multiplied by the price).
Where the other capitalization model, the “realized cap” differs is that instead of all the coins being weighted against the latest value of the crypto, each coin is multiplied by the BTC price that was there at the time of the coin’s last movement.
Now, MVRV is just the ratio between these two Bitcoin caps (market divided by realized). Historically, this metric has indicated when the value of BTC has been undervalued, and when it has been overvalued.
Here is a chart that shows the trend in three different MVRV moving averages (10-day, 15-day, and 20-day) during the last few months:
Looks like the 10-day MA curve is passing under the 15-day MA line Source: BTCUSD on TradingViewFeatured image from Thomas Bonometti on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com
Tags: bitcoinBitcoin Bearish SignalBitcoin MVRVBitcoin MVRV Triple Ribbonbtcbtcusd
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